I’ve recently discovered Daniel Natal (thank you skintnick).
I’ve been listening to quite a few of his podcasts and interviews and looking at his low viewership numbers, I think Daniel is severely underrated. He is one of the most well-read people I have come across and his recall ability to reference points and books in real time is quite breathtaking. In addition to all of that I think he is a very important geo-political thinker with plenty that is really important to say about Empire and how we got to today.
This stack was prompted by this interview he did with David Blockman.
Energy: And Its Dual Meaning as "Power". - YouTube
There are so many gems in this interview and I’m going to flesh out a few of them here. Natal is the only person I have come across so far that references Engdahl’s explanation of the significance of the Berlin-Baghdad Railway to the understanding of World War 1.
Being from Iraq, I am particularly interested in this subject.
We live in a post WW1 world.
Without WW1 you wouldn’t have Soviet Communism and WW2.
WW2 shaped everything, literally.
It shaped Europe, the Soviet Union, the Cold War, NATO, the U.N. and American Empire.
WW1 is the gift that keeps giving, and what we have been told about it is untrue.
The story we have been told is basically this.
Germans Bad; The Allies Good. The End. That’s about it, I think.
Oh, and something about a Serbian nationalist assassinating someone1.
As you will see from the Natal interview and from Engdahl’s book, WW1 was late-stage British Empire in decline, taking out the new, upstart German competition.
WW1 was an inorganic geopolitical act engineered by the British.
But first, let’s look at Natal’s interview with David Blackman.
Comprehensive Summary:
The video titled "Energy: And Its Dual Meaning as 'Power'" from The Daniel Natal Show features an insightful conversation with David Blackmon, an experienced energy policy analyst and consultant with over 40 years in the oil and gas industry. The discussion delves into the complex interplay between energy resources and geopolitical power, examining historical contexts and current trends.
Blackmon begins by discussing the public relations challenges faced by the nuclear industry since incidents like Three Mile Island and Chernobyl. He notes that despite the safety of modern nuclear technologies, public fear and misconceptions persist, influenced in part by the oil industry's efforts to discredit nuclear energy.
The conversation then shifts to the strategic importance of energy in global politics, particularly during the World Wars. Blackmon highlights how control over oil resources shaped major conflicts and decisions, citing examples like the Berlin-Baghdad railway in World War I and Hitler's actions in World War II, driven by the need to control oil supplies.
The video also touches on the influence of oil companies in shaping environmental movements. Blackmon points out that some early environmental groups were funded by oil tycoons, aiming to discredit nuclear energy and maintain reliance on oil. This manipulation extends to modern times, with recent anti-nuclear sentiments and green movements still influenced by oil interests.
Blackmon expresses concern about the U.S. government's lack of interest in securing independent sources of rare earth minerals, crucial for modern technology and defense. He notes that while other countries, like China, aggressively pursue these resources, the U.S. remains reliant on imports, compromising its energy security.
The discussion also covers the concept of energy transition, with Blackmon predicting a continued, albeit misguided, focus on wind and solar power. He foresees a future resurgence in nuclear energy due to its efficiency and safety, alongside a continued role for oil and gas.
Blackmon criticizes the inward focus of U.S. intelligence agencies post-9/11, arguing that it has led to a lack of awareness of global developments, particularly the rise of China and other emerging powers. He suggests that this inward focus has weakened the U.S.'s global position.
In conclusion, Blackmon emphasizes the inevitability of market forces in determining the future of energy. He predicts a diverse energy mix, including electric, hydrogen, and gasoline vehicles, and stresses the importance of innovation and market-driven solutions over government control.
Key Takeaways:
David Blackmon's Expertise: Over 40 years of experience in the oil and gas industry, providing deep insights into energy policy.
Energy and Geopolitics: The complex relationship between energy resources, particularly oil and nuclear power, and geopolitical power.
Impact of Energy on Historical Events: The significant influence of control over oil resources on major global conflicts, including World Wars I and II.
Strategic Importance of the Berlin-Baghdad Railway: Its role in World War I and the geopolitical struggle for oil.
Baghdad-Berlin Railway
The Berlin-Baghdad Railway is mentioned in the context of its strategic importance during World War I. The railway, which was planned to connect Berlin in Germany to Baghdad in the Ottoman Empire, is discussed as a significant factor in the geopolitical posturing of the era. It was seen as a way for Germany to gain direct access to oil resources in the Middle East, bypassing the sea routes controlled by the British.
The construction of the railway was perceived as a threat by other major powers, particularly England, due to its potential to alter the balance of power in the region. The railway would have allowed Germany to transport troops and resources more efficiently and to access oil, a critical resource for industrial and military power.
The discussion in the video highlights how the Berlin-Baghdad Railway was a key element in the larger geopolitical struggle for control of oil resources, which was a central theme of global conflicts at the time. The railway project was one of the factors that contributed to the tensions leading up to World War I, as it was part of the broader competition for resources and influence among the major powers of the era.
Serbia
Serbia is mentioned in relation to the Berlin-Baghdad Railway and its role in the lead-up to World War I. The discussion highlights how England, perceiving the Berlin-Baghdad Railway as a strategic threat due to its potential to give Germany access to Middle Eastern oil, responded by fostering nationalist movements in regions through which the railway was to pass.
Specifically, the video suggests that England played a role in creating or supporting the Serbian nationalist movement to disrupt the construction of the railway. This intervention was part of a broader strategy to counter German influence and maintain control over access to critical resources like oil. The railway was planned to pass through Serbia, making it a key location in the geopolitical struggle between Germany and England.
The mention of Serbia in this context underscores the complex interplay of national interests, resource control, and political maneuvering that characterized the prelude to World War I. The situation in Serbia, influenced by external powers, contributed to the escalating tensions in Europe that eventually led to the outbreak of the war.
Public Perception Challenges of Nuclear Industry: Issues stemming from incidents like Three Mile Island and Chernobyl, and the influence of oil companies in shaping public opinion against nuclear energy.
Energy as a Tool for Control: How energy resources have been used to exert control over nations and economies.
De-industrialization and Energy Consumption: The impact of de-industrialization in Western economies on energy use and the strategic energy decisions of countries like Germany.
German Nuclear
There is a discussion about Germany's approach to nuclear energy. The conversation highlights Germany's decision to shut down its nuclear power plants, which is described as an "insane act." This decision led Germany to reactivate old coal plants to maintain energy supply, especially during winter.
The discussion criticizes Germany's move away from nuclear energy, pointing out the irony and impracticality of the decision. Despite the initial push for greener energy sources, Germany's closure of nuclear plants forced it to revert to coal, a much less environmentally friendly energy source. This situation is used to illustrate the broader theme of the video, which is the complex and often contradictory nature of energy policy and its intersection with environmental concerns and geopolitical strategy.
The conversation implies that Germany's decision was not well-thought-out and highlights the challenges and unintended consequences that can arise when transitioning energy sources, especially when moving away from nuclear energy without a viable and equally sustainable alternative.
US Coal
It is mentioned that a significant number of coal plants in the United States have been retired or are scheduled to be retired. Specifically, the video states that out of approximately 500 coal plants that were operational five years ago, about 372 have either been retired or are scheduled for retirement.
This statistic underscores the significant shift in the U.S. energy landscape, with a move away from coal as a primary energy source. This transition is part of a broader trend towards cleaner energy sources and efforts to reduce carbon emissions. However, the video also points out the global implications of this shift, noting that while the U.S. is retiring its coal plants, countries like China are building new ones, which raises concerns about the overall global impact on emissions and climate change.
New Coal Plants Built by China:
In contrast to the U.S., the video notes that China has been building new coal plants. It is mentioned that China has been approving and constructing a new coal plant every week for the same period during which the U.S. has been retiring its coal plants. This statistic is used to illustrate the differing approaches to energy policy between the U.S. and China, especially in the context of global emissions and climate change.
Energy Transition and National Security: The implications of transitioning to different energy sources for national security and economic stability.
Supply Chains and Warfare: The critical role of supply chains in warfare, particularly in relation to energy resources.
ESG's Impact on the Energy Sector: The potential influence of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) initiatives on energy policies and market dynamics.
ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) is discussed in relation to energy policy and its broader societal and economic implications. The conversation suggests that ESG initiatives, particularly in the energy sector, are not solely focused on environmental and social betterment but may also be used as a means to control and monetize energy resources.
The video posits that under ESG directives, there could be efforts to make traditional energy sources like oil and gas more expensive and less accessible to the average person. This approach could lead to energy becoming a luxury rather than a readily available resource, potentially resulting in greater control over the population. A less mobile and energy-dependent population could be easier to govern, aligning with the interests of certain authoritative entities.
This perspective on ESG reflects a critical view, suggesting it might be used as a tool for control and profit, rather than purely for advancing environmental and social goals. The conversation implies that ESG, in this context, could be part of a broader strategy to manipulate energy accessibility and prices, influencing societal structures and individual behaviors.
The discussion of ESG in the video aligns with its overarching theme of the complex interplay between energy policy, geopolitical power, and the influence of various interest groups in the context of global energy dynamics.
Influence of Major Oil Families: The role of oil families and their foundations in shaping environmental policies and movements.
Future of Electric Vehicles: The anticipated impact of electric vehicles on energy consumption and the broader energy mix.
Reduced Mobility and Authoritarian Governance: The concept of a less mobile society under authoritarian regimes as a result of energy control.
Mobility
The topic of mobility is discussed in the context of energy policy and its implications for societal control. The conversation suggests that one of the end goals of certain energy policies, particularly those related to restricting access to affordable energy, is to create a less mobile society.
The video posits that a population with limited mobility is easier to govern, especially by authoritarian regimes. This idea is tied to the broader theme of the video, which explores how control over energy resources can be used to exert influence and control over populations. The discussion implies that by making energy – especially fossil fuels – more expensive and less accessible, people's ability to travel and move freely would be significantly reduced.
This reduction in mobility is seen as a means of increasing governmental control and reducing the autonomy of the populace. The conversation in the video aligns with its overarching theme of the complex interplay between energy policy, geopolitical power, and societal control. The idea is that energy policy is not just about managing resources, but also about managing people and their behaviors.
Derivatives in the Energy Market: The role and implications of financial instruments like derivatives in the energy sector.
Derivatives
The topic of derivatives is discussed in the context of environmental and energy policies, particularly relating to climate change initiatives. The conversation suggests that part of the climate change agenda, as discussed in various conferences and documents, involves the creation and expansion of financial instruments like derivatives.
The video implies that these financial instruments, including derivatives, are being used or proposed as a means to monetize and capitalize on various aspects of the climate change agenda. This includes the creation of new forms of financial products like catastrophe bonds and social investment bonds. The idea presented is that these instruments could be lucrative but also pose risks to the economy.
The mention of derivatives is in line with the video's broader theme of exploring how economic and political interests intersect with environmental and energy policies. The discussion raises concerns about the potential for these financial instruments to exacerbate economic instability, given the complex and often speculative nature of derivatives.
This perspective on derivatives reflects a critical view of how financial markets and instruments are being integrated into environmental and climate-related initiatives. The conversation suggests that these developments are part of a larger strategy that may prioritize financial gains and market manipulation over genuine environmental concerns.
H.G. Wells' Predictions: Historical predictions about societal and technological changes and their relevance to current energy discussions.
Strategic Economic Decisions: How countries respond to energy challenges and the economic impact of these decisions.
Global Emissions and Energy Security: The influence of energy policies on the global shift of emissions and the transfer of energy security from the West to countries like China.
Licensing and Permitting in Energy Policy: The use of bureaucratic tools to influence energy development and national energy independence.
CIA's Shift in Focus Post-9/11: The inward turn of the CIA, leading to a lack of global awareness and potential weakening of the U.S.'s global position.
Economic and Social Impact of Energy Policies: How energy policies affect industries, job markets, social structures, and the distribution of resources.
Uncertainties in Energy Technology and Markets: Acknowledging the complexities in predicting technological advancements and market trends in the energy sector.
Quotes
"Oil companies have influenced environmental movements and public opinion against nuclear energy."
"Energy is used as a tool for exerting control over nations and economies."
"The concept of de-industrialization in Western economies impacts energy consumption."
"The nuclear industry has suffered from a PR problem since Three Mile Island happened in 1979."
"The true price of tyranny is you spend so much time obsessing on your own population that you stop looking around at the rest of the world."
"We're sitting on all this wealth, all this mineral wealth, and they're using EPA laws to make sure that we're not energy independent."
"A less mobile population is a lot easier to govern than a mobile population by an authoritarian government."
"The CIA misses everything literally everything; they're surprised by everything that happens now."
"Ultimately, you know, all these efforts by governments to control the market and dictate to the market are going to fail."
"If wind and solar were such a great idea, we'd already be living with wind and solar instead of an oil and gas economy."
Now let’s move onto the Berlin-Baghdad Railway and let Engdahl explain its significance in much more detail.
Here is a note from Engdahl in a recent newsletter:
Newsletter Ten: The Actual Cause for World War I and a Century of War
Hello Again Dear Reader,
This issue of my periodic newsletter I would like to devote to a selection from my best-selling book, A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics. The book describes the emergence of oil as the strategic commodity for world economic power and its role in leading not only to the First World War in August 1914, but also most subsequent wars down to the present. I have selected a section describing the long-ignored role of Germany’s mammoth Berlin-to-Baghdad railway project to decisions in London to redraw the map of Europe by encircling the German Reich with secret alliances first with France and then Russia to oppose Germany. If you do not yet have the book and find the following of interest, I strongly recommend to buy it and read the complete book.
If You like the book, it would mean a lot to me if you leave a review on amazon. This helps me continue to create great content for you.
My thanks for your interest and best wishes,
F. William Engdahl
With thanks to Daniel Natal and F. William Engdahl.
A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics
CHAPTER TWO - The Lines are Drawn: Germany and the Geopolitics of the Great War
Germany’s Wirtschaftswunder2
Growing divergence after 1873 between the depressed economy of the British Empire, and the emerging industrial economies of Continental Europe, above all the German Reich, created the background to the outbreak in 1914 of the Great World War. The role of petroleum in this conflict already had become central, though few outside a tiny elite of London and New York bankers and financiers realized fully how central until years after.
Towards the final decade of the 19th century, British banking and political elites had begun to express first signs of alarm over two specific aspects of the impressive industrial development in Germany. The first was emergence of an independent, modern German merchant and military naval fleet. Since 1815 and the Vienna Congress, the English Navy had been unchallenged lord of the seas.
The second strategic alarm was sounded over an ambitious German project to construct a railway linking Berlin with, ultimately, Baghdad, then part of the Ottoman Empire.
In both areas, naval challenge and building a rail infrastructure linking Berlin to the Persian Gulf, oil figured as a decisive, if still hidden, motive force for both the British and the German side. We will see why these two developments were regarded as virtual casus belli3 by the Anglo-Saxon establishment at the turn of the century. By the 1890's, British industry had been surpassed in both rates and quality of technological development by an astonishing emergence of industrial and agricultural development within Germany. With the United States concentrated largely on its internal expansion after its Civil War, the industrial emergence of Germany was seen increasingly as the largest "threat" to Britain's global hegemony during the last decade of the century.
By the 1870's, decades of piecemeal German adoption of the economic reforms of Friedrich List, in creation of a national modern rail transport infrastructure and tariff protection for emerging domestic industries, began to bring notable results, more so in the context of the political unity of the German Reich after 1871. Until approximately the 1850's, imitation of the apparently successful British economic model was the dominant policy followed in Germany, and the free trade economics of such British economists as Adam Smith4 or David Ricardo5, were regarded as holy gospel in German universities.
But increasingly, after England went into prolonged depression in the 1870's6, which hit Germany and Austria as well, Germany began to realize the serious flaws in continuing faithfully to follow the "British model." As Germany turned increasingly to a form of national economic strategy, and away from British "free trade" adherence, in building a national industry and agriculture production, the results were remarkable. As one indication of this shift away from the English model, from 1850 to the eve of the First World War in 1913, German total domestic output increased five-fold. Per capita output increased in the same period by 250%. The population began to experience a steady increase in its living standard, as real industrial wages doubled between 1871 and 1913.
But the heart of the German industrial revolution was the explosive expansion of technological industrial and agricultural development within Germany.
By rail from Berlin to Baghdad
In 1889, a group of German industrialists and bankers, led by Deutsche Bank, secured a concession from the Ottoman government to build a railway through Anatolia from the capitol, Constantinople. This accord was expanded ten years later, in 1899, when the Ottoman government gave the German group approval for the next stage of what became known as the Berlin-Baghdad Railway project. The second agreement was one consequence of the 1898 visit to Constantinople by German Kaiser Wilhelm II. German- Turkish relations had become of high importance over those ten years. Germany had decided to build a strong economic alliance with Turkey beginning the 1890's, as a way to develop potentially vast new markets to the East for export of German industrial goods. The Berlin-Baghdad Railway project was to be the centerpiece of a brilliant and quite workable economic strategy. Potential supplies of oil lurked in the background and Britain stood opposed. The seeds of animosities tragically being acted out in the Middle East in the 1990's trace directly back to this period.
For more than two decades, the question of construction of a modern railway linking Continental Europe with Baghdad was at the center of German-English relations as a point of friction. By the estimation of Deutsche Bank director, Karl Helfferich, the person responsible at the time for the Baghdad rail project negotiations, no other issue led to greater tensions between London and Berlin in the decade and half before 1914 with the possible exception of the issue of Germany's growing naval fleet.
In 1888, under the leadership of Deutsche Bank, a consortium secured a concession for construction and maintenance of a railway connecting Haidar- Pascha outside Constantinople, with Angora. The company was named the Anatolian Railway Company, and included Austrian and Italian shareholders as well as a small English shareholding. Work on the railway proceeded so well that the section was completed ahead of schedule and construction was further extended south to Konia.
By 1896 a rail line was open which could go from Berlin to Konia deep in the Turkish interior of the Anatolian highlands, a stretch of some 1,000 kilometers of new rail in a space of less than 8 years in an economically desolate area. It was a true engineering and construction accomplishment.
The ancient rich valley of the Tigris and Euphrates rivers was coming into sight of modern transportation infrastructure. Hitherto, the only rail infrastructure built in the Middle east had been British or French, all of it extremely short stretches in Syria or elsewhere to link key port cities, but never to open up large expanses of interior to modern industrialization.
The railway gave Constantinople and the Ottoman Empire vital modern economic linkage for the first time with its entire asiatic interior.
The rail link, once extended to Baghdad and a short distance further to Kuwait, would provide the cheapest and fastest link between Europe and the entire Indian subcontinent, a world rail link of the first order. From the English side, this was exactly the point. "If 'Berlin- Baghdad' were achieved, a huge block of territory producing every kind of economic wealth, and unassailable by sea-power would be united under German authority," warned R.G.D. Laffan, at that time a senior British military adviser attached to the Serbian Army. "Russia would be cut off by this barrier from her western friends, Great Britain and France," Laffan added. "German and Turkish armies would be within easy striking distance of our Egyptian interests, and from the Persian Gulf, our Indian Empire would be threatened. The port of Alexandretta and the control of the Dardanelles would soon give Germany enormous naval power in the Mediterranean." Laffan hinted at the British strategy to sabotage the Berlin- Baghdad link. "A glance at the map of the world will show how the chain of States stretched from Berlin to Baghdad. The German Empire, the Austro-Hungarian Empire, Bulgaria, Turkey. One little strip of territory alone blocked the way and prevented the two ends of the chain from being linked together. That little strip was Serbia. Serbia stood small but defiant between Germany and the great ports of Constantinople and Salonika, holding the Gate of the East...Serbia was really the first line of defense of our eastern possessions. If she were crushed or enticed into the 'Berlin-Baghdad' system, then our vast but slightly defended empire would soon have felt the shock of Germany's eastward thrust."
In 1912, Deutsche Bank, in the course of its financing of Baghdad rail connection, negotiated a concession from the Ottoman Emperor giving the Baghdad Rail Co. full "right-of-way" rights to all oil and minerals on a parallel 20 kilometers either side of the rail line. The line had reached as far as Mosul in what today is Iraq. By 1912, German industry and government realized that oil was the fuel of its economic future, not only for land transport but for naval vessels. At that time, Germany was itself in the lock-grip of the large American Rockefeller Standard Oil Company trust. Standard Oil's Deutsche Petroleums Verkaufgesellschaft controlled 91% of all German oil sales. Deutsche Bank held a minority 9% share of Deutsche Petroleums Verkaufgesellschaft, hardly a decisive interest. Germany in 1912 had no independent, secure supply of oil. But geologists had discovered oil in that part of Mesopotamia today called Iraq, between Mosul and Baghdad. The projected line of the last part of the Berlin-Baghdad rail link would go right through the area believed to hold large oil reserves. Efforts to pass legislation in the Berlin Reichstag in 1912-13 to establish a German state-owned company to develop and run the new found oil resources, independent of the American Rockefeller combine, were stalled and delayed until the outbreak of World War in August 1914 pushed it from the agenda. The Deutsche Bank plan was to have the Baghdad rail link transport Mesopotamian oil over land, free from possible naval blockade by the British and thereby, make Germany independent in its petroleum requirements.
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World War I was sparked by the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand of Austria-Hungary and his wife, Sophie, on June 28, 1914. This event occurred in Sarajevo, the capital of Bosnia and Herzegovina, a region that had been annexed by Austria-Hungary in 1908. The assassination was carried out by Gavrilo Princip, a member of a Serbian nationalist group called the Black Hand.
The assassination set off a chain of events that led to the outbreak of World War I. The key sequence of these events, often referred to as the July Crisis, unfolded over the course of a month:
1. Austria-Hungary's Response: Austria-Hungary, with the backing of Germany, saw the assassination as a direct challenge to its authority and an opportunity to curb Serbian nationalism and its own Slavic minorities' restiveness.
2. Ultimatum to Serbia: On July 23, Austria-Hungary issued an ultimatum to Serbia with harsh demands, including the suppression of anti-Austrian propaganda and the involvement of Austrian officials in the investigation and suppression of subversive elements within Serbia. Serbia agreed to most but not all of the demands.
3. Declaration of War: Austria-Hungary, unsatisfied with Serbia's response and looking for a pretext to take military action, declared war on Serbia on July 28, 1914.
4. Mobilization and Escalation: Russia, as a protector of Slavic interests and ally to Serbia, began to mobilize its forces. Germany, allied with Austria-Hungary, viewed Russian mobilization as an act of aggression and declared war on Russia on August 1. France, allied with Russia, began its own mobilization, leading Germany to declare war on France on August 3.
5. Invasion of Belgium: Germany's war plan involved a quick strike against France through Belgium. When Germany invaded neutral Belgium on August 4 to outflank the French army, Britain, which had guaranteed Belgian neutrality, declared war on Germany.
Thus, what started as a regional conflict triggered by the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand rapidly expanded into a global conflict due to the complex web of alliances, militarism, nationalism, and imperialistic ambitions of the major European powers.
Referring to the rapid economic development and industrialization of Germany in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, prior to World War I, this period was indeed marked by significant economic growth and industrial advancement, but it is not typically referred to as "Wirtschaftswunder."
During this time, Germany experienced:
Industrial Growth: Rapid industrialization, particularly in areas such as the Ruhr Valley, which became a major center for coal, steel, and iron production.
Economic Reforms: Implementation of economic policies that fostered industrial growth, including tariffs protecting nascent industries and the establishment of a modern banking system that financed industrial expansion.
Technological Advancements: Significant progress in science and technology, contributing to industrial efficiency and productivity.
Railway Expansion: Extensive development of the railway network, facilitating trade and mobility.
Global Economic Presence: Germany emerged as a major player in the global economy, competing with the established industrial power of Britain.
This period laid the groundwork for Germany's role as a major industrial and economic power in the early 20th century.
"Casus belli" is a Latin term that translates to "cause of war." It refers to an event or situation that justifies or precipitates a declaration of war. In international relations and diplomatic discussions, a casus belli is the reason or justification given by a state for going to war against another state. This term is often used in the context of discussing whether the reasons for a conflict are considered legitimate or justifiable under international law or the norms of international relations.
For example, an act of aggression, such as an invasion or attack, a violation of international treaties, or a significant threat to national security, can be considered a casus belli. The concept is important in understanding the legal and moral grounds upon which wars are declared and waged.
Adam Smith was a Scottish economist, philosopher, and author, widely regarded as the father of modern economics. He was born on June 16, 1723, in Kirkcaldy, Scotland, and died on July 17, 1790, in Edinburgh. Smith is best known for his two classic works: "The Theory of Moral Sentiments" (1759) and "An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations" (1776), commonly referred to as "The Wealth of Nations."
"The Wealth of Nations" is considered his magnum opus and the first modern work of economics. In this book, Smith laid the foundations for classical free market economic theory. He argued for laissez-faire economic policy, positing that if individuals were free to pursue their own interests, they would naturally contribute to the economic well-being of the whole society, guided by what he famously termed the "invisible hand" of the market. This concept suggests that the self-regulating nature of the marketplace would lead to economic prosperity and efficiency.
Smith's ideas about free markets, competition, the division of labor, and the role of government in economic affairs have had a profound influence on economic thought and policy. His work laid the groundwork for the classical economics school and has had a lasting impact on the field of economics and the way economies are structured and understood in the modern world.
David Ricardo was a British political economist, born on April 18, 1772, in London, and died on September 11, 1823. He is one of the most influential classical economists along with Adam Smith and Thomas Malthus. Ricardo is best known for his theory on wages and profit, theory of international trade, and theory of rents.
Ricardo's most famous work is "Principles of Political Economy and Taxation" (1817), where he developed several key economic theories:
1. Comparative Advantage: This is perhaps his most significant contribution, where he argued that nations should specialize in producing goods where they have a comparative advantage (i.e., where they are relatively more efficient than other countries), leading to increased efficiency and economic welfare for all countries involved in trade. This theory forms the basis of modern international trade theory.
2. Law of Rent: Ricardo's Law of Rent was one of the first attempts to develop a theory of land value. It states that the rent of a land depends on its fertility relative to the least fertile land in use.
3. Labor Theory of Value: Ricardo, like other classical economists, believed that the value of a good is determined by the amount of labor required to produce it.
4. Ricardian Equivalence: An idea in economics that suggests that government budget deficits do not affect the total level of demand in an economy, as people anticipate future taxes to pay off the debt and thus save more.
Ricardo's ideas had a significant impact on the development of economics as a discipline. His theories on rent, wages, and profits influenced the evolution of economic thought and policy, particularly in the areas of income distribution and public finance.
The prolonged depression in England during the 1870s, often referred to as the "Long Depression," was a significant period of economic downturn that had widespread effects on the global economy. This period is notable for several reasons:
1. Duration and Scope: The Long Depression, which began around 1873 and lasted until approximately 1896, was characterized by a prolonged period of economic stagnation and deflation in most of the industrialized world. It was one of the first international economic crises, affecting not just England but also the United States, Europe, and other parts of the world.
2. Causes: The depression had multiple causes. One of the primary factors was the overexpansion and speculative investments in railroads and industrial sectors during the preceding years, which led to a bubble that eventually burst. The Panic of 1873, a financial crisis that started in Vienna and spread to other parts of Europe and to the United States, marked the beginning of this prolonged downturn.
Additionally, the period saw a significant drop in major commodity prices, partly due to the increased global competition and overproduction in agriculture and industry. Technological advancements and increased efficiency also led to a drop in prices, contributing to deflationary pressures.
3. Impact on England: England, being the world's leading industrial power at the time, was significantly impacted. The depression led to reduced industrial growth, increased unemployment, and general economic hardship. The country's heavy reliance on trade and international markets meant that the global nature of the depression had a pronounced effect on its economy.
4. Global Trade and Protectionism: The depression also led to shifts in global trade patterns. Countries responded to the economic downturn with increased protectionism, implementing tariffs to protect domestic industries. This shift was a move away from the free trade policies that had dominated the global economy, particularly in England, during the mid-19th century.
5. Social and Political Impacts: The economic hardships of the period led to social unrest and political changes in many countries. In England, this period saw the growth of trade unions and increased demands for social and labor reforms.
6. End of the Depression: The end of the Long Depression is often associated with the general recovery of the global economy in the mid-1890s, which was partly driven by new technological advancements and the expansion of new industries.
The Long Depression was a crucial period in economic history, marking a transition from the mid-19th century era of rapid industrialization and expansion to a more complex and globally interconnected economic landscape. It influenced economic policies, trade practices, and industrial strategies in England and around the world, setting the stage for the economic dynamics of the early 20th century.
I gave this a "like" as soon as I saw the title, "Berlin-Baghdad Railway." I knew it would be good -- and it is! Thank you!
We get such bullshit as "history" in our public fool systems that selling bullshit based on that "history" is a piece of cake. "History" is essentially a collection of fairy tales made up and sold to us via countries' "Marketing" departments.
I was in my early 30's doing an internship in a major commercial bank in Boston as part of my M.B.A. program. I worked in the Energy & Utilities division within the Commercial Finance Department. After finishing the internship, the division executive gave me a hard copy of Daniel Yergin's "The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money & Power."
https://www.amazon.com/Prize-Epic-Quest-Money-Power/dp/1439110123/ref=sr_1_1?crid=1G2PX5H08VG5B&keywords=the+prize+daniel+yergin&qid=1702219499&sprefix=The+Prize%2Caps%2C198&sr=8-1
It was in this book that I first came across the "Berlin-Baghdad Railway." It's one of those "Ah, ha!" moments that stay with you. In an instant, you learn that what you learned in school about WWI (and its continuation in WWII) was flat-out utter bullshit. That knowledge turned my head around completely...Germany pursuing a railway to the Middle East as its industrial power began to crush that of England? And then some "lone gunman" outta nowhere shoots some royals -- and that's what starts a world war? As if nothing else were going on the background that needed only a trigger?
Engdahl's (love him) "A Century of War" is another gem. It provides the grown-up version of political events vs. the grade-school level utter bullshit (there's that word again) we get shoveled at us in the fool system. You see grade-school level reaction and analysis today based on emotion and completely erroneous (purposely so) edu-macation.
Anyway! Comment is too long, so I'll stop here. Thank you so much for raising awareness (through your obvious hard work) of this critical factor from the last century that paved the way for the events of this one.
Thanks for the background on WW1. I was aware that many historians say that the root of both WW1 and WW2 was the lateness of Germany in entering the colonial power scramble (i.e. world resource scramble), and the account of this Berlin-Baghdad Railway effort actually fits perfectly into that understanding.
Regarding your info on nuclear, I'm not convinced. Fukushima has again showed us that this technology has again not panned out well, basically because of Murphy's Law. I'm certainly no expert on nuclear, and I'm open to learning about new developments in it, but I suspect that nuclear proponents are still not telling us the entire cost of that tech. Factoring in unpredictable and potentially huge costs of waste disposal is just one such cost. Manipulating the essentials of nature to unleash huge amounts of energy is likely always a risky--and perhaps reckless--undertaking.