Pick a side: The jab is either safe or it isn’t

Improve your thinking on this most fundamental of questions.

Oct 24, 2021

Whoever you are, you need to pick a side on this single issue.

Is the jab safe or not?

All else is built on this.

When they say, “it’s safe and effective,” the effective part of the statement is redundant unless you first get through safe.

Imagine I told you that it was effective but not safe, you would rightly not take it.

So, it’s either safe or it isn’t…pick a side.

If you say it’s safe, you need to prove it. The onus is on you to do so, and you don’t get away with saying that it’s safe because the government said so. If that is your position, that means you believe that your government doesn’t lie to you, and so they can be absolutely believed. If you are in that camp, please stop reading, this isn’t for you. Go back to watching Channel 9.

If your answer is that you don’t know, that leads us to two places.

One, this is great, you know what you don’t know, and you are humble enough to admit it and hopefully curious enough to find answers. The answers exit, and you are in the camp of people that can be helped and woken up.

Two, please stop talking about the jab. If you admit to not knowing whether it’s safe or not, then stop talking about it to anyone. Stop telling your kids to take it, stop telling you friends to do the right thing, stop telling your employees to take it otherwise they lose their job, stopping telling the kids at your school to take it and stop telling your constituents to take it if you are a politician.

Just stop.

You have admitted to not knowing whether the injection is safe, so tools down on any discussion about something you are ignorant of. If you keep telling people to get it, while not knowing whether it’s safe or not, you are being reckless. Reckless with the facts. Reckless with the truth. Reckless with your credibility and most importantly of all, reckless with the health and wellbeing of others. It is moral recklessness of the highest order.

Just stop.

Instead, you might respond with a question: What does safe mean?

What a great question! I’m not going to flesh out all the different ways of thinking about this question, but there is a simple answer that we can dwell on for a moment.

One death per million.

This has been a widely accepted and longstanding standard. It has been a circuit breaker for previous campaigns. Once there has been evidence of deaths at this rate, programs have stopped. Let’s look at the latest Australian numbers.

COVID-19 vaccine weekly safety report - 21-10-2021 | Therapeutic Goods Administration (TGA)

1.     To 17 October 2021, approximately 32.7 million vaccine doses have been given in Australia – 18.3 million first doses and 14.4 million second doses.
2.     Large scale vaccination means that coincidentally some people will experience a new illness or die within a few days or weeks of vaccination.
3.     The TGA reviews all deaths reported in people who have been vaccinated. As the number of vaccinated people has increased, so has reporting of fatal events with a coincidental association with vaccination. This does not indicate a link between vaccination and the fatalities reported. Review of individual reports and patterns of reporting does not suggest the vaccines played a role in these deaths.
4.     Since the beginning of the vaccine rollout to 17 October 2021, approximately 32.7 million doses of COVID-19 vaccines have been given. So far, the TGA has found 9 reports of death that were linked to immunisation from 612 reports received and reviewed. The overwhelming majority of deaths reported to the TGA following vaccination occurred in people aged 65 years and older. The deaths linked to immunisation occurred after the first dose of Vaxzevria (AstraZeneca) – 8 were TTS cases and one was a case of immune thrombocytopenia (ITP).

There are many government lies in the above 4 paragraphs, but for now I just want to focus on the reported deaths: 612

18.3M people have had an injection or two, and 612 deaths have been reported.

The gov says they have all been reviewed (lie, not a single autopsy has been done) and the gov says they are all, except for 9, coincidences.

We don’t know how many of these reports are from doctors, but it is not within the norms of Australian culture to “go over the top of your doctor.” Australians overwhelmingly would rely on their doctor to make the final decision and report or not. So, 612 reports of death have been sent in, overwhelmingly from doctors, who are under significant career and job risk if they promote jab hesitancy, and the gov has deemed that 603 of these reports were merely deaths of coincidence.

Let me say that again, 603 doctors have sent in a report saying that the jab killed their patient and the gov has said, nope, they are all a coincidence. The problem with this coincidence theory is that it can have merit with small numbers, but it doesn’t work with large numbers, and 612 is a very large number, and the reporting is not happenstance, but very deliberate and considered. No doctor is “accidentally” sending in a report, on a random whim.

Let’s say that there is a 50/50 chance that the doctor is wrong about the death’s link to the jab. That would mean the doctors experience and judgement is no better than the average person on the street. But as you and I know, the personal doctor’s judgement is far better than 50/50. I am happy to wager that if the deceased’s personal doctor sends in a report, knowing that his medical board might coming questioning him, but does it never the less, then there is easily a 95%+ chance that the doctor is right…but let’s stick with 50/50. Heads/Tails.

Heads = the doctor is right

Tails = the doctor is wrong. It is just a coincidence and the gov is right

So, we now are going to flip a coin 612 times, remember we have a 50/50 chance of Heads or Tails. Let’s say that for the first 3-4 flips it comes up Tails (that is coincidence) but after 612 flips, if it comes up Tails 603 times, there is something very fishy going on. Either the coins are rigged, or the flipper is cheating, or the referee is lying.

Let’s simplify these numbers more. If you flip a coin 612 times and get 9 Heads, that means you are getting 1 Head per 68 Flips and the other 67 are Tails.

You intuitively know that if you were to flip a coin for the rest of your live, you will never get a single sequence, ever, that includes 67 Tails and 1 Head. Your intuition is correct about that but let me give your intuition some mathematical support.

The odds of getting 1 Head from 68 Flips is:

1 in 4,340,410,370,284,600,234 or

1 in 4.3 Million Trillion

So, when the gov says that only 9 of these 612 reports are linked to the jab, the odds of that statement being truthful are 1 in 4.3 Million Trillion. And this assumes that the doctor’s odds of being right are only 50/50, no better than the average punter.

So, can we please agree that the gov is lying?

We have very poor data in Australia, by gov design, so we need to rely on the shape of numbers from overseas. No reason to think it is materially different here.

In the US: 86% of deaths had no other explanation and 9% of deaths happened within 6 hrs, 18% within 12 hrs and 36% within 24 hrs.

What the gov doesn’t talk about is the known under-reporting of jab death and injury. There is considerable overseas research on the size of under-reporting. At the high end and for mild or distant (from moment of jab) injury 100x under-reporting has been reported. Credible analysis on under-reporting of anaphylaxis (the most immediate jab injury and response as it happens within minutes) is 41x under-reported.

If we take 10x as our conservative under-reporting multiplier we get 6,120 jab deaths across 18.3M jabbed Australians.

1 in 2,990 (or 334 per million) - This means it’s 334x beyond the circuit breaker of jab safety. It is 334x more dangerous than the most dangerous point allowed for all other vaccines.

If you assume Zero underreporting (which is a patently false assumption):

1 in 29,901 (or 33 per million)

The only way that you can conclude that the jab is safe, is if you accept the gov number of 9 linked deaths. That gets you to 0.5 deaths per million, and below the 1 death per million circuit breaker.

But for you to believe the gov number of 9 deaths, you also need to believe that you can get 67 Tails from 68 coin Flips.

We have a few politicians in Australia that are standing up to the government’s tyranny, but many of them, including people in my own party, the Liberal Democrats, are clear minded on matters of lockdown but are muddled in their thinking on the safety of the jab.

The way that they deal with their own confusion is to fall back onto “personal choice,” that the gov shouldn’t mandate the jab (obviously correct) and that they shouldn’t discriminate against the unjabbed (also obviously correct) and that they should make the jab available for all and let the population make an “informed decision” about the jab…on this point we disagree.

The issue of Informed Consent is similar to the issue of Effectiveness…they both follow Safety.

If something is not safe, then you don’t get to present it to the public for them to make a “free choice” with “informed consent.” You only get to exercise your “free choice” and “informed consent” over a medication that has been proven to be “safe” first.

The government does not permit “unsafe” cars to be sold to the public, and there is nobody arguing that cheap and unsafe cars be sold and that citizens will exercise their freedom to either buy these unsafe cars or not.

The government does not permit restaurants to produce unsafe food, even if the restaurant gave clear warning signs about the risks and possibility of illness.

There is a presumption of safety first and it is WITHIN THAT PRESUMPTION that Freedom of Choice and Informed Consent exist.

If you are wondering why the jab is so unsafe, the simple answer is the spike protein. We have known for quite some time that this bit of protein that sits on the surface of the virus is dangerous. The jabs get your cells to produce this spike protein and it wanders all throughout your body causing all manner of havoc.

The reason that most people who have taken the jab think that it’s safe, is because they have not died (or been seriously injured). Their metric of success is that they are not dead. What can I say, that’s not how you measure or define safety. Let’s leave it at that.

So, pick a side: They are either safe or they are not.

Lies are Unbekoming

Discussion about this post